Bearish Bitcoin signal fires, raising chance for a 77% price drop

Bitcoin’s Supertrend indicator sent a “sell” signal that has led to a 77% price drop in the past. The crypto sentiment index in “extreme fear” suggests there is more pain ahead for Bitcoin investors.

BTC $92,131

SuperTrend indicator has sent a “sell” signal on its weekly chart, an occurrence that has historically marked the start of a bear market.

Previous signals led to 77% to 84% BTC price drops

Bitcoin’s weekly chart showed that the SuperTrend indicator flashed a bearish signal when it reversed from red to green and moved above the price last week.

This indicator overlays the chart while tracking BTC’s price trend, like the moving averages. It incorporates the average true range in its calculations, which helps traders identify market trends.

Related: Strategy rides out Bitcoin crash, still on track for S&P 500 spot: Matrixport

The SuperTrend’s “sell” signal was confirmed after the BTC/USD pair produced a weekly close below the 50-week moving average (MA) on Sunday, a scenario that has historically marked the end of a bull market

Previous confirmations from these two indicators were followed by 84% and 77% drawdowns during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, as shown in the chart below.

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